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Bitcoin halving may lead to price drop

The halving is intended the underscore the value of bitcoin by capping its supply and increasing its worth. It was a process developed by bitcoin creator Satoshi Nakamoto, who has since disappeared. The halving will take place after bitcoin’s all time high price of $73,803 in March this year, and subsequent drop in the last few weeks.

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In the past, the bitcoin halving process has increased the price of the cryptocurrency, the price of bitcoin has increased by an average of 16% in the two months to follow the halvings in 2020, 2016, and 2012.

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A note from Goldman Sachs to their clients warned against a bitcoin price drop according to CoinDesk: “Historically, the previous three halvings have been accompanied by BTC price appreciation after the halving, although the time it took to reach the all-time highs differs significantly. Caution should be taken against extrapolating the past cycles and the impact of halving, given the respective prevailing macro conditions.”

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JPMorgan analysts also predict a price drop after the halving, citing “overbought conditions”.

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Duncan Ash, head of strategy at Coincover, commented: “In the short term, the upcoming halving will put supply and demand slightly out of kilter, driving market pressure as more investors seek to get a piece of the pie. This is likely to continue until the elevated price deters new investors, which will restore a closer balance between the number of buyers and sellers and settle the market. In addition, the industry will emerge with more users, a higher market cap, and greater liquidity. As such, we’re likely to see a stabilising effect on the market in the mid to long term.”

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This year the US Securities and Exchange Commission gave bitcoin the all-clear for ETF assets to be bought and shared to track the price of bitcoin.